WASHINGTON - from the United States, Europe and even China's booming, the global economy shows signs of strain.
Most of the major economies should continue to grow. But the evidence is mounting that many around the world are striving to develop as quickly as they did last year.
European governments are faced with debts and squeezed budgets. The British economy grew just at the beginning of the year. Even the strongest economy of Europe, Germany, may face a slowdown.
High unemployment, real depressed and still high oil prices are slowing of the US economy, which grew at an annual rate of lean 1.8% from January to March. And after its earthquake of Earth and the nuclear crisis, the Japan sank into a recession.
In China, increases in interest rates to reduce inflation are slowing growth.
Overall, the world economy probably pass only 3.5 per cent this year, down 4.1% in 2010, according to research firm IHS Global Insight. IHS has reduced that 3.8% forecast.
As the meeting of the leaders of the rich democracies group of eight in Paris, world growth is on an agenda already filled with concerns about instability in the Middle East, the Greece debt crisis, which will be the next leader of the Monetary Fund International. It is not a priority objective, the meeting though.
"The euro is a big mess, and the Europeans do not want to talk about, said Simon Johnson, a former Chief Economist of the IMF."
The most serious such problems exist in Greece, Spain, Portugal and Ireland, who are overwhelmed by debts run up during the financial crisis and the recession that followed.
Financial markets were signaling concerns about a slowdown in the world. Dow Jones index has shed 450 points, or 3.5 per cent this month. Stocks slid 3 percent or more this month at the Japan, Britain and Hong Kong.
The Chief Economist, IHS Nariman Behravesh said "three winds are hitting the world economy at the same time":
? The high commodity prices. Despite a recent dip, oil prices are still up to 50 percent over the past year. These awards have pressed the household budget in the United States and other wealthy countries and impeded consumer spending. Increase in food prices are hurting the middle class and the poor around the world.
? Cut Government's budget. Many European countries had to cut spending after the financial crisis to enlarge their budget deficits. Britain last year, cut spending and raised taxes, stifling the economy. The British economy were living off just 0.5% growth in the quarter from January-March, after narrowing from October to December of last year.
The ? Japan earthquake and Earth crisis. After production of the plant has been disrupted, contracted to a 3.7% annual pace in the first quarter. It will probably contract an additional 3.7% in the quarter April-June, according to the Organization for economic cooperation and development.
"The highest degree of uncertainty lies in the effects of the disaster on the economy of the Japan," Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa said in a speech this week in Tokyo.
Economists expect the Japan economy to rebound in the second half of the year. Reopening factories and in the quake zone reconstruction projects should create jobs.
The US economy should accelerate in the coming months. Hiring more will be to encourage consumers to spend more. Companies are expected to dip in profits to expand. And having shed bad loans of financial crisis, banks will likely lend more to companies and consumers.
Still, economists are more concerned about China. Four increases the interest rates since October have not yet do much to cool inflation in China, which runs more than 5%. Goldman Sachs this week cut its forecast of growth of China 9.4%, rising from 10% this year, and 9.2% of 9.5% in 2012.
By increasing rates and other measures taken to strengthen bank loans, Beijing wants to slow down the growth of 7% this year to stem inflation. Some fear that controls Beijing, combined shortages of power in some manufacturing sectors, are Direction of China into an economic disaster. But most analysts expect China to tame inflation without wrecking the economy.
Other countries growing, such as the Brazil and the Turkey, are also trying to slow growth to control the rising inflation.
U.S. exporters had been counting on robust procurement in developing countries to compensate for mediocre growth at home. These expectations may need to be reduced.
"A hard landing for emerging markets could significantly reduce the global economic recovery," said Eswar Prasad, Professor of trade policy at Cornell University. "They were the main drivers of global growth as a result of the financial crisis".
Michael Mussa, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, was concerned that the increase in rates will slow world growth in 2012.
"If il y a concern, this is what could happen next year," said Mussa.
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Associated press writers Pan Pylas London, Kelvin Chan in Hong Kong, Joe McDonald in Beijing and Tomoka a. Hosaka in Tokyo contributed to this report.